The last two posts might sound like I'm just stating the obvious; people fall victim to confirmation bias when choosing their information sources. But hopefully I'm making a slightly more subtle and useful point. To tackle uncertainty, people are rationally searching for the smartest voice in the room, but using a flawed process to do … Continue reading Leveraged Intelligence Part 3 →

In the realm of politics, there are millions of poorly informed people viciously defending ideas they they know very little about. And many of the the thought-leaders these people listen to are selected because of their biased reasoning, not in spite of it. We are confusing the criteria for selecting experts with good opinions, with the … Continue reading Leveraged Intelligence Part 2 →

I used to think other people were crazy for having such strong opinions about everything. If there's a breaking-news story that the US is changing strategies in the Middle East, suddenly everyone is charging full-steam ahead with proclamations about how wonderful/terrible that is. The Trump administration is introducing a new tax bill? Suddenly every Joe … Continue reading Leveraged Intelligence Part 1 →